538 Presidential Forecast 2025

538 Presidential Forecast 2025. For 2025, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. Harris wins pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin, matching biden’s 2020 outcome in those states.


538 Presidential Forecast 2025

The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities. An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2025 presidential election.

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